Every upcoming fixture with the model's read, the Betway price, and why each one is or isn't a bet. Edge is the model's probability minus the market's after removing the bookmaker's margin — positive edge is the only defensible reason to stake.
Competition not modelled
114
Teams lack match history
96
Bettable
16
Model not confident enough
10
League has no model yet
7
Not predicted yet
4
| Date | League | Match | 1X2 | Price | Market | Edge | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Verdict | Why | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 16:45 | Primera Federacion spain |
CP Cacereno SAD v Arenas Club Getxo | Home win (44%) | 1.93 | 47% | -3pp | Under 2.5 goals (16%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (1%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group spain
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 50%
of the time over 1525 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 50%
of the time over 1525 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 45%
of the time over 1525 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | 1. Lig central |
Antalyaspor v Van Spor FK | Home win (38%) | 1.78 | 52% | -13pp | Under 2.5 goals (10%) | Both teams to score (9%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 10 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 10/0
matches (need 10)
· group central
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 52%
of the time over 1188 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 54%
of the time over 1188 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 55%
of the time over 1188 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | Segunda Federacion spain |
Reus FC Reddis v Naxara CD | Home win (44%) | 1.59 | 56% | -12pp | Under 2.5 goals (16%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (1%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group spain
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 50%
of the time over 1525 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 50%
of the time over 1525 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 45%
of the time over 1525 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | Tercera Federacion, Group 14 | Atletico Club Pueblonuevo v CD Santa Amalia | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | Liga de Ascenso | Santa Cruz v Quepos Cambute | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | Liga de Ascenso | Adr Jicaral v AD Rosario | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | 1st Division | Omonia Aradippou v Olympiakos | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | Division 1 | AL Jeel v Hajer FC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | 1. CFL | FK Bokelj Kotor v OFK Mladost DG | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | 1. Lig central |
Mardin 1969 Spor v Kayserispor | Home win (48%) | 2.65 | 34% | +14pp | Under 2.5 goals (15%) | Both teams to score (10%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 10 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/10
matches (need 10)
· group central
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 52%
of the time over 1188 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 54%
of the time over 1188 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 55%
of the time over 1188 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | Tercera Federacion, Group 13 | Olimpico Totana v Union Molinense CF 2020 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | Liga Portugal iberia east |
GD Estoril Praia v Casa Pia AC | Away win (37%) | 4.60 | 20% | +16pp | Under 2.5 goals (11%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (4%) |
Bet ▾
Match result — Away win.
The model rates this 37% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
20% —
so Sportybet's price of 4.87
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 78 profit on average.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — Under 2.5 goals.
The model rates this 56% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
46% —
so Sportybet's price of 2.10
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 17 profit on average.
Both teams to score — Either side keeps a clean sheet.
The model rates this 52% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
46% —
so Sportybet's price of 2.05
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 7 profit on average.
⚠ Caution: in back-testing this league's model was
less accurate than the bookmakers — when it
disagrees with them, it has historically been the one that's
wrong. Treat this claimed value as unproven.
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group iberia east
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 48%
of the time over 887 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 51%
of the time over 887 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 52%
of the time over 887 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Bet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | Super Lig central |
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler v Besiktas | Away win (42%) | 1.96 | 49% | -8pp | Under 2.5 goals (6%) | Both teams to score (9%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 4 and 10 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 4/10
matches (need 10)
· group central
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 52%
of the time over 1188 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 54%
of the time over 1188 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 55%
of the time over 1188 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | 1. CFL | FK Decic Tuzi v FK Mornar Bar | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | NB II | Soroksar SC v Tiszakecskei LC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | Primera Division | Csd Amatitlan v Juventud Copalera | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | Super Lig central |
Goztepe v Çaykur Rizespor | Home win (46%) | 2.65 | 36% | +10pp | Under 2.5 goals (12%) | Both teams to score (6%) |
Bet ▾
Match result — Home win.
The model rates this 46% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
37% —
so Sportybet's price of 2.65
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 23 profit on average.
⚠ Caution: in back-testing this league's model was
less accurate than the bookmakers — when it
disagrees with them, it has historically been the one that's
wrong. Treat this claimed value as unproven.
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group central
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 52%
of the time over 1188 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 54%
of the time over 1188 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 55%
of the time over 1188 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Bet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | Tercera Federacion, Group 18 | CD Quintanar del Rey v CD Illescas | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | Superliga | KF Drenica Skenderaj v KF Llapi | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | Tercera Federacion, Group 9 | Atletico Porcuna CF v Granada CF | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | Superliga | FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade v FK Radnicki Nis | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | Superliga | DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda v Spartak Trnava | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | Liga Portugal iberia east |
Santa Clara v Sp Braga | Away win (50%) | 2.01 | 46% | +4pp | Under 2.5 goals (4%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (5%) |
Bet ▾
Match result — Away win.
The model rates this 50% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
43% —
so Betway's price of 2.16
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 8 profit on average.
⚠ Caution: in back-testing this league's model was
less accurate than the bookmakers — when it
disagrees with them, it has historically been the one that's
wrong. Treat this claimed value as unproven.
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group iberia east
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 48%
of the time over 887 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 51%
of the time over 887 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 52%
of the time over 887 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Bet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | Superliga | KF Dukagjini v FC Drita | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | Segunda Division | CS Cerrito v River Plate | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | Segunda Federacion spain |
CD Xerez v CD Don Benito | Home win (44%) | 1.76 | 50% | -6pp | Under 2.5 goals (16%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (1%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group spain
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 50%
of the time over 1525 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 50%
of the time over 1525 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 45%
of the time over 1525 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | Liga de Ascenso | Aserri FC v Municipal | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:00 | Segunda Federacion spain |
CA Antoniano v CP Mijas-Las Lagunas | Home win (44%) | 1.75 | 51% | -7pp | Under 2.5 goals (16%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (1%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group spain
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 50%
of the time over 1525 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 50%
of the time over 1525 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 45%
of the time over 1525 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:15 | Eliteserien norway |
SK Brann v Bodoe/Glimt | Away win (44%) | 1.58 | 61% | -18pp | Under 2.5 goals (15%) | Both teams to score (16%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model and the bookmakers roughly agree on every market — the odds are priced about right, so there is nothing mispriced to bet on (the model must disagree by at least 3 points to bet)
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group norway
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 49%
of the time over 979 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 979 matches.
Both teams to score — right 56%
of the time over 979 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Below threshold (best 44% vs 60%) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:15 | Tercera Federacion, Group 18 | CD Marchamalo v CD Guadalajara B | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:15 | Pro League low countries |
KV Kortrijk v SK Beveren | Away win (48%) | 2.33 | 39% | +8pp | Under 2.5 goals (11%) | Both teams to score (11%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 10 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 10/0
matches (need 10)
· group low countries
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 48%
of the time over 962 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 55%
of the time over 962 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 56%
of the time over 962 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:15 | Challenger Pro League low countries |
FCV Dender EH v Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | Home win (56%) | 1.71 | 54% | +2pp | Under 2.5 goals (16%) | Both teams to score (11%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 10 and 3 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 10/3
matches (need 10)
· group low countries
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 48%
of the time over 962 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 55%
of the time over 962 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 56%
of the time over 962 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:15 | QSL Cup | Al Ahli Doha SC v Al Shahaniya | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:15 | QSL Cup | Al Rayyan SC v Qatar SC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:30 | 3. Liga germany |
SV Wehen Wiesbaden v MSV Duisburg | Home win (59%) | 3.00 | 31% | +28pp | Under 2.5 goals (19%) | Both teams to score (14%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 10 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 10/0
matches (need 10)
· group germany
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 44%
of the time over 1205 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 1205 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 58%
of the time over 1205 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:30 | Serie B italy |
Modena FC v Empoli FC | Home win (41%) | 1.58 | 58% | -17pp | Under 2.5 goals (5%) | Both teams to score (6%) |
Bet ▾
Both teams to score — Both teams to score.
The model rates this 53% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
49% —
so Sportybet's price of 1.89
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 0 profit on average.
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group italy
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 47%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 53%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 51%
of the time over 1322 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Bet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:30 | Vtora Liga | SFC Etar Veliko Tarnovo v PFC Chernomorets Burgas | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:30 | Superliga romania |
FC Dinamo Bucuresti 1948 v FC Farul Constanta | Away win (36%) | 4.40 | 21% | +16pp | Under 2.5 goals (7%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (4%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 2 and 10 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 2/10
matches (need 10)
· group romania
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 862 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 56%
of the time over 862 matches.
Both teams to score — right 49%
of the time over 862 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:30 | II Liga poland |
GKS Tychy v Sandecja Nowy S. | Home win (41%) | 2.15 | 43% | -2pp | Under 2.5 goals (5%) | Both teams to score (6%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 10 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/10
matches (need 10)
· group poland
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 845 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 49%
of the time over 845 matches.
Both teams to score — right 56%
of the time over 845 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:30 | NB 1 | Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC v Ferencvarosi Budapest | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:30 | Parva Liga | Levski Sofia v Ludogorets | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:30 | 3. SNL | NK Sencur v Rudar Trbovlje | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:30 | Bundesliga germany |
SC Paderborn 07 v TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Home win (48%) | 4.20 | 22% | +25pp | Under 2.5 goals (26%) | Both teams to score (18%) |
Bet ▾
Match result — Home win.
The model rates this 48% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
23% —
so Betway's price of 4.10
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 95 profit on average.
⚠ Caution: in back-testing this league's model was
less accurate than the bookmakers — when it
disagrees with them, it has historically been the one that's
wrong. Treat this claimed value as unproven.
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group germany
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 44%
of the time over 1205 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 1205 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 58%
of the time over 1205 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Bet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:45 | Carioca, Serie B2 south america |
SE Belford Roxo RJ v Cardoso Moreira RJ | Home win (48%) | 2.45 | 37% | +11pp | Under 2.5 goals (20%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:45 | Carioca, Serie B2 south america |
Paduano EC RJ v Barra FC SC | Home win (48%) | 1.32 | 69% | -21pp | Under 2.5 goals (20%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:45 | Carioca, Serie B2 south america |
SE Buzios RJ v Serra Macaense FC RJ | Home win (48%) | 4.90 | 18% | +30pp | Under 2.5 goals (20%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:45 | Carioca, Serie B2 south america |
Friburguense AC RJ v Campos AA RJ | Home win (48%) | 1.89 | 48% | +0pp | Under 2.5 goals (20%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 17:45 | Primera LPF south america |
San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors | Away win (36%) | 2.00 | 46% | -10pp | Under 2.5 goals (16%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (6%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model and the bookmakers roughly agree on every market — the odds are priced about right, so there is nothing mispriced to bet on (the model must disagree by at least 3 points to bet)
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Below threshold (best 36% vs 60%) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Primera Division | Deportivo Coatepeque v Chichicasteco FC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | MLS Next Pro usa |
Chicago Fire FC II v Chattanooga FC | Home win (48%) | 2.50 | 37% | +11pp | Under 2.5 goals (8%) | Both teams to score (4%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 8 and 6 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 8/6
matches (need 10)
· group usa
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 1538 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 61%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Both teams to score — right 62%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Premijer Liga | FK Sarajevo v FK Sloga Doboj | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | MLS Next Pro usa |
Red Bull New York II v Huntsville City | Home win (50%) | 1.76 | 52% | -2pp | Under 2.5 goals (9%) | Both teams to score (9%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 7 and 7 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 7/7
matches (need 10)
· group usa
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 1538 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 61%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Both teams to score — right 62%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | HNL | Dinamo Zagreb v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Primera B south america |
CSD Liniers v Argentino de Merlo | Home win (48%) | 2.15 | 43% | +5pp | Under 2.5 goals (20%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Primera Nacional south america |
Chacarita Juniors v Quilmes | Home win (43%) | 2.65 | 35% | +8pp | Under 2.5 goals (17%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (9%) |
Bet ▾
Match result — Home win.
The model rates this 43% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
35% —
so Sportybet's price of 2.65
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 14 profit on average.
⚠ Caution: in back-testing this league's model was
less accurate than the bookmakers — when it
disagrees with them, it has historically been the one that's
wrong. Treat this claimed value as unproven.
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Bet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Liga 1 | Sport Huancayo v FC Cajamarca | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Primera C south america |
CDM Leandro N. Alem v Club Mercedes | Home win (48%) | 2.75 | 33% | +15pp | Under 2.5 goals (20%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Primera Divisio | Inter v Randers FC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Primera Federacion spain |
CD Extremadura v Cultural Leonesa | Home win (56%) | 2.20 | 41% | +14pp | Under 2.5 goals (1%) | Both teams to score (0%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 10 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/10
matches (need 10)
· group spain
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 50%
of the time over 1525 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 50%
of the time over 1525 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 45%
of the time over 1525 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Primera B south america |
CS Dock Sud v Quilmes | Away win (37%) | 3.10 | 30% | +8pp | Under 2.5 goals (21%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (11%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 10 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/10
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | MLS Next Pro usa |
Orlando City II v Atlanta United II | Home win (45%) | 2.60 | 35% | +10pp | Under 2.5 goals (0%) | Both teams to score (1%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 6 and 8 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 6/8
matches (need 10)
· group usa
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 1538 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 61%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Both teams to score — right 62%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Torneo Federal A south america |
Douglas Haig v Gimnasia | Home win (36%) | 1.76 | 53% | -16pp | Under 2.5 goals (25%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (12%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 10 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/10
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Tercera Federacion, Group 4 | CD Derio v CD Santurtzi KE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Torneo Federal A south america |
CA Alvarado v Club Olimpia | Home win (48%) | 2.38 | 39% | +10pp | Under 2.5 goals (20%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Torneo Federal A south america |
CA Bartolome Mitre v San Martín | Home win (37%) | 3.15 | 29% | +8pp | Under 2.5 goals (21%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 10 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/10
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Torneo Federal A south america |
Huracan v CSB Atenas | Home win (53%) | 3.33 | 27% | +26pp | Under 2.5 goals (13%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (6%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 10 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 10/0
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | MLS Next Pro usa |
Toronto FC II v New England Revolution II | Home win (51%) | 3.10 | 30% | +21pp | Under 2.5 goals (9%) | Both teams to score (10%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 6 and 8 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 6/8
matches (need 10)
· group usa
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 1538 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 61%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Both teams to score — right 62%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Torneo Federal A south america |
CF America v CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | Home win (48%) | 2.12 | 43% | +5pp | Under 2.5 goals (20%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Torneo Federal A south america |
Costa Brava de General Pico v CSD Sol de Mayo | Home win (48%) | 1.44 | 63% | -15pp | Under 2.5 goals (20%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Primera B south america |
CA Villa San Carlos v CA Talleres de Remedios | Home win (48%) | 3.80 | 24% | +24pp | Under 2.5 goals (20%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Copa Santa Catarina south america |
Santa Catarina SC v Figueirense | Home win (43%) | 2.55 | 35% | +8pp | Under 2.5 goals (25%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (12%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 10 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/10
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Superliga | Železničar Pančevo v FK Cukaricki Belgrade | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Primera Nacional south america |
Agropecuario Argentino v Gimnasia y Tiro | Home win (41%) | 2.10 | 44% | -3pp | Under 2.5 goals (19%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 8 and 8 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 8/8
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Primera C south america |
CA General Lamadrid v Leones de Rosario | Home win (48%) | 2.75 | 33% | +15pp | Under 2.5 goals (20%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | MLS Next Pro usa |
FC Cincinnati 2 v Crown Legacy FC | Home win (48%) | 3.95 | 23% | +25pp | Under 2.5 goals (4%) | Both teams to score (14%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 10 and 8 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 10/8
matches (need 10)
· group usa
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 1538 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 61%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Both teams to score — right 62%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | MLS Next Pro usa |
United v Inter Miami II | Home win (50%) | 1.24 | 73% | -23pp | Under 2.5 goals (5%) | Both teams to score (0%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 7 and 8 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 7/8
matches (need 10)
· group usa
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 1538 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 61%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Both teams to score — right 62%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Primera C south america |
Lugano v Estrella del Sur | Home win (48%) | 2.30 | 40% | +9pp | Under 2.5 goals (20%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Torneo Federal A south america |
Juventud Unida v San Martín | Home win (37%) | 1.96 | 46% | -9pp | Under 2.5 goals (21%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 10 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/10
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Torneo Federal A south america |
Deportivo Rincon v CD Santamarina Tandil | Home win (48%) | 1.39 | 65% | -17pp | Under 2.5 goals (20%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Tercera Federacion, Group 10 | Conil CF v Cádiz CF | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Primera Nacional south america |
Deportivo Morón v Godoy Cruz | Home win (47%) | 2.13 | 43% | +4pp | Under 2.5 goals (17%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (6%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 8 and 10 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 8/10
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Primera C south america |
CA Puerto Nuevo v Deportivo Paraguayo | Home win (48%) | 1.97 | 46% | +2pp | Under 2.5 goals (20%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | MLS Next Pro usa |
Columbus Crew 2 v Carolina Core | Home win (47%) | 1.74 | 53% | -6pp | Under 2.5 goals (5%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (9%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 10 and 6 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 10/6
matches (need 10)
· group usa
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 1538 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 61%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Both teams to score — right 62%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Torneo Federal A south america |
Sarmiento v Defensores de Belgrano | Home win (39%) | 2.16 | 42% | -4pp | Under 2.5 goals (20%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (5%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 2 and 8 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 2/8
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Torneo Federal A south america |
EC Bahia v Kimberley Mar del Plata | Home win (50%) | 1.71 | 54% | -4pp | Under 2.5 goals (11%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (9%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 10 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 10/0
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | MLS Next Pro usa |
Philadelphia Union II v New York City II | Home win (50%) | 2.05 | 45% | +5pp | Under 2.5 goals (10%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (1%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 7 and 7 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 7/7
matches (need 10)
· group usa
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 1538 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 61%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Both teams to score — right 62%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:00 | Super League iberia east |
Panaitolikos Agrinio v PAOK Saloniki | Away win (38%) | 1.43 | 64% | -25pp | Under 2.5 goals (15%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (5%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 1 and 10 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 1/10
matches (need 10)
· group iberia east
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 48%
of the time over 887 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 51%
of the time over 887 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 52%
of the time over 887 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:15 | PrvaLiga | NK Brinje Grosuplje v NK Radomlje | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:15 | Ekstraklasa poland |
KKS Lech Poznan v Radomiak Radom | Home win (44%) | 1.36 | 69% | -25pp | Under 2.5 goals (2%) | Both teams to score (6%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 6 and 10 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 6/10
matches (need 10)
· group poland
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 845 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 49%
of the time over 845 matches.
Both teams to score — right 56%
of the time over 845 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:30 | Serie C, Group A italy |
Folgore Caratese v AS Giana Erminio | Home win (45%) | 2.21 | 41% | +4pp | Under 2.5 goals (5%) | Both teams to score (3%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group italy
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 47%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 53%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 51%
of the time over 1322 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:30 | Premier League | Wanderers v Balzan FC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:30 | Serie C, Group A italy |
Alcione v Brescia | Home win (51%) | 3.75 | 25% | +26pp | Under 2.5 goals (5%) | Both teams to score (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 10 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/10
matches (need 10)
· group italy
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 47%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 53%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 51%
of the time over 1322 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:30 | Primera Federacion spain |
Real Zaragoza v FC Cartagena | Home win (53%) | 1.59 | 57% | -4pp | Under 2.5 goals (1%) | Both teams to score (2%) |
Bet ▾
Both teams to score — Both teams to score.
The model rates this 51% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
44% —
so Betway's price of 2.08
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 6 profit on average.
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group spain
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 50%
of the time over 1525 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 50%
of the time over 1525 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 45%
of the time over 1525 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Bet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:30 | Serie C, Group B italy |
Gubbio v AS Ostiamare | Home win (46%) | 2.30 | 40% | +6pp | Under 2.5 goals (5%) | Both teams to score (1%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group italy
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 47%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 53%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 51%
of the time over 1322 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:30 | LigaPro Primera A | Técnico Universitario v Delfin SC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:30 | Challenge League | Tarxien Rainbows FC v Attard FC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:30 | Copa Parana south america |
Paranavai PR v Cascavel PR | Home win (48%) | 1.83 | 50% | -2pp | Under 2.5 goals (20%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:30 | Goiano, 2. Divisao | Bom Jesus v Goianesia EC GO | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
No model for br2 yet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:30 | Primera Federacion spain |
Hercules de Alicante CF v Juventud Torremolinos CF | Home win (44%) | 1.65 | 55% | -11pp | Under 2.5 goals (16%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (1%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group spain
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 50%
of the time over 1525 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 50%
of the time over 1525 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 45%
of the time over 1525 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:30 | Serie C, Group B italy |
US Grosseto v Perugia | Home win (57%) | 2.60 | 35% | +22pp | Under 2.5 goals (4%) | Both teams to score (4%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 10 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/10
matches (need 10)
· group italy
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 47%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 53%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 51%
of the time over 1322 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:30 | Serie C, Group A italy |
Lecco v US Pergolettese Crema | Away win (45%) | 3.45 | 26% | +19pp | Under 2.5 goals (3%) | Both teams to score (6%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 10 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 10/0
matches (need 10)
· group italy
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 47%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 53%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 51%
of the time over 1322 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:45 | Ligue 1 france |
Olympique Marseille v Paris Saint-Germain | Away win (50%) | 1.37 | 68% | -19pp | Under 2.5 goals (2%) | Both teams to score (2%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model and the bookmakers roughly agree on every market — the odds are priced about right, so there is nothing mispriced to bet on (the model must disagree by at least 3 points to bet)
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group france
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 48%
of the time over 1152 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 53%
of the time over 1152 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 53%
of the time over 1152 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Below threshold (best 50% vs 60%) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 18:45 | Serie A italy |
AC Milan v Lecce | Home win (60%) | 1.23 | 76% | -16pp | Under 2.5 goals (4%) | Both teams to score (6%) |
Bet ▾
Over / Under 2.5 goals — Under 2.5 goals.
The model rates this 52% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
39% —
so Sportybet's price of 2.45
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 28 profit on average.
Both teams to score — Both teams to score.
The model rates this 53% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
44% —
so Sportybet's price of 2.15
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 14 profit on average.
⚠ Caution: in back-testing this league's model was
less accurate than the bookmakers — when it
disagrees with them, it has historically been the one that's
wrong. Treat this claimed value as unproven.
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group italy
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 47%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 53%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 51%
of the time over 1322 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Bet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 19:00 | Copa Bolivia | Real Oruro v GV Club Deportivo San Jose de Oruro | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 19:00 | Brasileiro Serie C south america |
Santa Cruz v Floresta EC CE | Home win (49%) | 1.77 | 52% | -3pp | Under 2.5 goals (5%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (2%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 10 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 10/0
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 19:00 | Liga DIMAYOR | Fortaleza v CD Junior FC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 19:00 | Canadian Premier League | Wanderers v Toronto | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 19:00 | LaLiga 2 spain |
CD Leganés v Granada CF | Home win (47%) | 2.01 | 46% | +1pp | Under 2.5 goals (12%) | Both teams to score (1%) |
Bet ▾
Both teams to score — Both teams to score.
The model rates this 51% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
46% —
so Sportybet's price of 2.00
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 1 profit on average.
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group spain
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 50%
of the time over 1525 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 50%
of the time over 1525 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 45%
of the time over 1525 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Bet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 19:00 | Primera Nacional south america |
Deportivo Madryn v Racing | Home win (57%) | 1.62 | 57% | +0pp | Under 2.5 goals (16%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (6%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 8 and 5 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 8/5
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 19:00 | Piauiense, Serie B | Flamengo v Caicara EC PI | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
No model for br2 yet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 19:00 | Division de Honor | Sportivo San Lorenzo v Club Olimpia | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 19:00 | Brasileiro Serie A south america |
EC Vitória v Cruzeiro EC | Home win (40%) | 2.85 | 32% | +8pp | Under 2.5 goals (16%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (5%) |
Bet ▾
Match result — Home win.
The model rates this 40% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
32% —
so Sportybet's price of 2.95
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 19 profit on average.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — Under 2.5 goals.
The model rates this 58% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
49% —
so Sportybet's price of 1.92
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 11 profit on average.
Both teams to score — Either side keeps a clean sheet.
The model rates this 53% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
44% —
so Sportybet's price of 2.10
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 10 profit on average.
⚠ Caution: in back-testing this league's model was
less accurate than the bookmakers — when it
disagrees with them, it has historically been the one that's
wrong. Treat this claimed value as unproven.
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Bet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 19:00 | La Liga spain |
Valencia CF v Real Sociedad | Home win (42%) | 2.75 | 34% | +8pp | Under 2.5 goals (18%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (1%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 10 and 7 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 10/7
matches (need 10)
· group spain
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 50%
of the time over 1525 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 50%
of the time over 1525 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 45%
of the time over 1525 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 19:00 | Brasileiro Serie B | Goiás EC v Avai FC SC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
No model for br2 yet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 19:00 | Segunda Division | Bolívar v FC Aarau | — | — | — | — | — | — | No Bet | Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 19:00 | Brasileiro Serie A south america |
Corinthians SP v Fluminense FC | Home win (38%) | 2.10 | 44% | -6pp | Under 2.5 goals (14%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model and the bookmakers roughly agree on every market — the odds are priced about right, so there is nothing mispriced to bet on (the model must disagree by at least 3 points to bet)
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Below threshold (best 38% vs 60%) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 19:30 | Segunda Division | Urena SC v Zamora FC Barinas II | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 19:30 | Primera Nacional south america |
Colón de Santa Fe v Los Andes | Home win (51%) | 1.70 | 54% | -2pp | Under 2.5 goals (17%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (8%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 10 and 8 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 10/8
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 19:30 | Segunda Division | Atletico El Vigia v Real Frontera FC | — | — | — | — | — | — | No Bet | Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 19:30 | Liga Portugal iberia east |
FC Porto v SL Benfica | Home win (37%) | 2.85 | 33% | +4pp | Under 2.5 goals (5%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (4%) |
Bet ▾
Match result — Home win.
The model rates this 37% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
33% —
so Betway's price of 2.80
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 3 profit on average.
Both teams to score — Either side keeps a clean sheet.
The model rates this 52% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
45% —
so Betway's price of 2.05
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 6 profit on average.
⚠ Caution: in back-testing this league's model was
less accurate than the bookmakers — when it
disagrees with them, it has historically been the one that's
wrong. Treat this claimed value as unproven.
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group iberia east
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 48%
of the time over 887 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 51%
of the time over 887 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 52%
of the time over 887 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Bet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 19:30 | Primera Nacional south america |
CD Maipu v Gimnasia Jujuy | Home win (50%) | 2.00 | 46% | +3pp | Under 2.5 goals (16%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (6%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 7 and 9 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 7/9
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 19:30 | Segunda Division | Club Atletico Barinas v Academia Puerto Cabello B | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 19:30 | Segunda Division | Deportivo Miranda v Atletico Avila FC | — | — | — | — | — | — | No Bet | Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 19:30 | Primera Division | Club Nacional de Football v Defensor Sporting | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 20:00 | Primera Nacional south america |
CA Guemes v Midland | Home win (42%) | 3.05 | 30% | +12pp | Under 2.5 goals (17%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (8%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 7 and 9 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 7/9
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 20:00 | Primera LPF south america |
Rosario Central v Argentinos Jrs | Home win (44%) | 1.99 | 46% | -2pp | Under 2.5 goals (17%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model and the bookmakers roughly agree on every market — the odds are priced about right, so there is nothing mispriced to bet on (the model must disagree by at least 3 points to bet)
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Below threshold (best 44% vs 60%) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 20:00 | Primera Division | Academia Anzoategui FC v Caracas FC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 20:00 | Primera LPF south america |
Platense v Newell's Old Boys | Home win (41%) | 2.23 | 41% | -0pp | Under 2.5 goals (17%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (8%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model and the bookmakers roughly agree on every market — the odds are priced about right, so there is nothing mispriced to bet on (the model must disagree by at least 3 points to bet)
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Below threshold (best 41% vs 60%) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 20:00 | Goiano, 2. Divisao | Morrinhos v Rio Verde | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
No model for br2 yet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 20:00 | Segunda Division | Dynamo Puerto FC v Mineros de Guayana | — | — | — | — | — | — | No Bet | Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 20:00 | Primera Division | Zamora FC v Metropolitano | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 20:00 | Primera Nacional south america |
San Martín San Juan v Colegiales | Home win (42%) | 1.95 | 48% | -6pp | Under 2.5 goals (17%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (8%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 10 and 8 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 10/8
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 20:00 | Primera B south america |
Deportivo Morón v CSD Flandria | Home win (58%) | 2.55 | 36% | +22pp | Under 2.5 goals (12%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (5%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 8 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 8/0
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 20:00 | Primera Nacional south america |
Central Norte v Defensores de Belgrano | Home win (49%) | 2.35 | 40% | +10pp | Under 2.5 goals (19%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (9%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 9 and 8 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 9/8
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 20:00 | Cearense, Serie C south america |
Acopiara v EC Limoeiro CE | Home win (48%) | 1.99 | 46% | +2pp | Under 2.5 goals (20%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 20:00 | Primera Nacional south america |
Chaco For Ever v Club Almirante Brown | Home win (44%) | 1.95 | 47% | -4pp | Under 2.5 goals (20%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (6%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 8 and 7 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 8/7
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 20:00 | Segunda Division | Club Atletico Rentistas v Club Oriental de Football | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 20:30 | Premier League | Bay v Tru-Juice FC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 20:30 | Premier League | Chapelton Maroons FC v Molynes | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 20:30 | Liga 1 | Juan Pablo II College v CD Moquegua | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 20:30 | Premier League | Mount Pleasant FC v Racing | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 20:30 | Premier League | Treasure Beach FC v Tivoli Gardens | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 20:50 | Liga Nacional | Deportivo San Pedro v CSD Coban Imperial | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:00 | MLS Next Pro usa |
Minnesota United II v Los Angeles FC 2 | Home win (46%) | 1.93 | 48% | -2pp | Under 2.5 goals (5%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (4%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 7 and 8 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 7/8
matches (need 10)
· group usa
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 1538 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 61%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Both teams to score — right 62%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:00 | Primera Division | HYH Sebaco FC v Indigenas de Matagalpa FC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:00 | Liga de Ascenso | Xilotepelt FC v Real Madriz | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:00 | MLS Next Pro usa |
Houston Dynamo 2 v Sporting Kansas City II | Home win (50%) | 1.34 | 68% | -18pp | Under 2.5 goals (22%) | Both teams to score (22%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 10 and 8 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 10/8
matches (need 10)
· group usa
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 1538 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 61%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Both teams to score — right 62%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:00 | MLS Next Pro usa |
Real Monarchs v Ventura County FC | Home win (47%) | 2.65 | 35% | +12pp | Under 2.5 goals (6%) | Both teams to score (6%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 7 and 7 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 7/7
matches (need 10)
· group usa
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 1538 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 61%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Both teams to score — right 62%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:00 | MLS Next Pro usa |
Saint Louis City SC 2 v Austin II | Home win (51%) | 2.06 | 44% | +7pp | Under 2.5 goals (14%) | Both teams to score (5%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 7 and 9 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 7/9
matches (need 10)
· group usa
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 1538 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 61%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Both teams to score — right 62%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:00 | MLS Next Pro usa |
Colorado Rapids II v North Texas SC | Home win (50%) | 2.65 | 35% | +15pp | Under 2.5 goals (19%) | Both teams to score (16%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 8 and 9 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 8/9
matches (need 10)
· group usa
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 1538 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 61%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Both teams to score — right 62%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:00 | Liga de Ascenso | Deportivo La Coruña v Bravos del Primavera | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:00 | Primera Division | Alianza v Municipal Limeño | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:00 | Liga Panamena | Herrera FC v Tauro FC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:00 | MLS Next Pro usa |
Whitecaps FC 2 v San Jose Earthquakes II | Home win (50%) | 3.40 | 27% | +22pp | Under 2.5 goals (3%) | Both teams to score (1%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 6 and 8 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 6/8
matches (need 10)
· group usa
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 1538 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 61%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Both teams to score — right 62%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:00 | LigaPro Primera A | CD Cuenca v Mushuc Runa SC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:00 | MLS Next Pro usa |
Tacoma Defiance v Portland Timbers II | Home win (47%) | 2.22 | 41% | +6pp | Under 2.5 goals (4%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (6%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 7 and 7 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 7/7
matches (need 10)
· group usa
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 1538 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 61%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Both teams to score — right 62%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:00 | Primera Division | Deportivo Achuapa v CD Mictlan | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:00 | Primera Division | Estudiantes v Trujillanos FC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:00 | USL Championship usa |
Indy Eleven v Oakland Roots SC | Home win (52%) | 1.99 | 46% | +6pp | Under 2.5 goals (16%) | Both teams to score (16%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group usa
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 1538 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 61%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Both teams to score — right 62%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:00 | Primera Division | Municipal v San Miguel | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:05 | Liga DIMAYOR | CA Bucaramanga v Bogotá | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:15 | Copa Bolivia | The Strongest v Club Bolivar | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:30 | Brasileiro Serie C south america |
Paysandu v Internacional | Away win (38%) | 3.80 | 24% | +14pp | Under 2.5 goals (21%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (10%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 10 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/10
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:30 | Brasileiro Serie B | Londrina EC PR v Fortaleza EC CE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
No model for br2 yet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:30 | Brasileiro Serie C south america |
Ferroviária v Brusque FC SC | Home win (48%) | 1.82 | 51% | -3pp | Under 2.5 goals (20%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:30 | Brasileiro Serie A south america |
CR Flamengo v Red Bull Bragantino | Home win (61%) | 1.33 | 69% | -8pp | Under 2.5 goals (12%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (10%) |
Bet ▾
Over / Under 2.5 goals — Under 2.5 goals.
The model rates this 56% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
38% —
so Sportybet's price of 2.45
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 38 profit on average.
Both teams to score — Either side keeps a clean sheet.
The model rates this 55% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
48% —
so Sportybet's price of 1.94
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 7 profit on average.
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Bet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 21:30 | Division de Honor | Sportivo Luqueno v Recoleta FC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 22:15 | Primera LPF south america |
Belgrano de Córdoba v E. Rio Cuarto | Home win (55%) | 1.41 | 65% | -10pp | Under 2.5 goals (16%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (8%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model and the bookmakers roughly agree on every market — the odds are priced about right, so there is nothing mispriced to bet on (the model must disagree by at least 3 points to bet)
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Below threshold (best 55% vs 60%) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 22:30 | Brasileiro Serie A south america |
CA Paranaense v EC Bahia BA | Home win (41%) | 2.21 | 42% | -1pp | Under 2.5 goals (15%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (5%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 10 and 6 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 10/6
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 23:00 | Primera Division | Liverpool FC Montevideo v Racing Club | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 23:00 | MLS usa |
Inter Miami v San Diego | Home win (50%) | 1.48 | 66% | -16pp | Under 2.5 goals (1%) | Both teams to score (9%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model and the bookmakers roughly agree on every market — the odds are priced about right, so there is nothing mispriced to bet on (the model must disagree by at least 3 points to bet)
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group usa
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 1538 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 61%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Both teams to score — right 62%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Below threshold (best 50% vs 60%) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 23:00 | Primera Division | Rancho Santana v Managua FC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 23:00 | Primera Division | Liga Deportiva Alajuelense v Inter San Carlos | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 23:00 | USL League One usa |
Spokane Velocity FC v AC Boise | Home win (52%) | 2.40 | 38% | +14pp | Under 2.5 goals (16%) | Both teams to score (16%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group usa
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 1538 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 61%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Both teams to score — right 62%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 23:00 | Liga de Expansion MX mexico |
Tapatío v Tlaxcala FC | Home win (42%) | 2.00 | 46% | -4pp | Under 2.5 goals (2%) | Both teams to score (9%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group mexico
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 48%
of the time over 956 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 49%
of the time over 956 matches.
Both teams to score — right 56%
of the time over 956 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 23:00 | USL Championship usa |
Sacramento Republic FC v San Antonio | Home win (52%) | 1.88 | 49% | +4pp | Under 2.5 goals (16%) | Both teams to score (16%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group usa
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 1538 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 61%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Both teams to score — right 62%
of the time over 1538 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 23:00 | Liga Nacional | Suchitepéquez v Xelajú | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 23:10 | Liga DIMAYOR | CD Tolima v América de Cali | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 23:15 | Liga Nacional | CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa v Independiente | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 23:15 | Liga Panamena | CA Independiente de La Chorrera v AF Sporting San Miguelito | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 23:30 | LigaPro Primera A | LDU Quito v CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 23:30 | Primera Division | Firpo v Atletico Balboa | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 23:30 | Copa Bolivia | Oriente Petrolero v Santa Cruz | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 00:00 | Liga MX mexico |
Deportivo Toluca FC v Santos Laguna | Home win (54%) | 1.28 | 73% | -19pp | Under 2.5 goals (0%) | Both teams to score (11%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 6 and 10 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 6/10
matches (need 10)
· group mexico
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 48%
of the time over 956 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 49%
of the time over 956 matches.
Both teams to score — right 56%
of the time over 956 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 00:00 | Liga MX mexico |
Pachuca v Tijuana | Home win (48%) | 1.75 | 54% | -6pp | Under 2.5 goals (1%) | Both teams to score (10%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model and the bookmakers roughly agree on every market — the odds are priced about right, so there is nothing mispriced to bet on (the model must disagree by at least 3 points to bet)
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group mexico
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 48%
of the time over 956 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 49%
of the time over 956 matches.
Both teams to score — right 56%
of the time over 956 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Below threshold (best 48% vs 60%) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 00:30 | Primera LPF south america |
Velez Sarsfield v CA Tigre | Home win (54%) | 2.18 | 42% | +12pp | Under 2.5 goals (12%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (8%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 10 and 8 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 10/8
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 01:00 | Liga Nacional | CD Malacateco v Deportivo Mixco | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 01:00 | Primera Division | AD San Carlos v CS Cartagines | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 01:15 | Liga DIMAYOR | Llaneros FC v Atlético Nacional | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 01:30 | Liga Nacional | Juticalpa FC v UD San Pedro | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 02:10 | Liga MX mexico |
Queretaro v Club Leon | Home win (43%) | 2.49 | 37% | +7pp | Under 2.5 goals (1%) | Both teams to score (11%) |
Bet ▾
Match result — Home win.
The model rates this 43% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
37% —
so Sportybet's price of 2.60
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 12 profit on average.
⚠ Caution: in back-testing this league's model was
less accurate than the bookmakers — when it
disagrees with them, it has historically been the one that's
wrong. Treat this claimed value as unproven.
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group mexico
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 48%
of the time over 956 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 49%
of the time over 956 matches.
Both teams to score — right 56%
of the time over 956 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Bet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 06:00 | Japan Football League japan |
Okinawa SV v Tiamo Hirakata | Home win (43%) | 2.70 | 34% | +9pp | Under 2.5 goals (4%) | Both teams to score (3%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 3 and 3 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 3/3
matches (need 10)
· group japan
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 941 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 52%
of the time over 941 matches.
Both teams to score — right 51%
of the time over 941 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 08:30 | LPR Pro | Puerto Rico Surf SC v Caguas Sporting FC | — | — | — | — | — | — | No Bet | Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 11:00 | Pro Liga | Lochin v Respublika Football Academy | — | — | — | — | — | — | No Bet | Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 11:00 | Pro Liga | FC Pakhtakor Tashkent II v PFC Shurtan | — | — | — | — | — | — | No Bet | Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 13:00 | 3. Division, Group 4 norway |
Odds BK 2 v Stabaek Fotball 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | No Bet | Not predicted yet — run predict | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 13:00 | Azadegan League | Niroye Zamini Tehran v FC Fard Alborz | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 14:00 | Prva Liga | FK TSC Backa Topola v Gfk Dubocica | — | — | — | — | — | — | No Bet | Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 14:00 | Prva Liga | OFK Vrsac v FK Bor 1919 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 14:00 | Vtora Liga | PFK Sportist Svoge v PFC Vihren Sandanski | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 14:30 | Esiliiga | Nomme Kalju FC U21 v FC Nomme United U21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 14:30 | Girabola | 1º de Maio de Benguela v CD Lunda Sul | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 15:00 | Superliga romania |
ASC Otelul Galati v Corvinul Hunedoara | Home win (45%) | 2.29 | 40% | +5pp | Under 2.5 goals (0%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (3%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 1 and 2 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 1/2
matches (need 10)
· group romania
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 862 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 56%
of the time over 862 matches.
Both teams to score — right 49%
of the time over 862 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 15:00 | 2. Liga | FC Petrzalka v FK Pohronie Ziar Nad Hronom Dolna Zdana | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 15:15 | Superliga | Xorazm Fk Urganch v Qizilqum Zarafshon | — | — | — | — | — | — | No Bet | Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 16:00 | Vtora Liga | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich v PFC CSKA SOFIA II | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 16:00 | 3. Division, Group 6 norway |
Brumunddal Fotball v Sandefjord Fotball 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | No Bet | Not predicted yet — run predict | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 16:00 | Prva Liga | FK Javor Ivanjica v FK Proleter Zrenjanin 023 | — | — | — | — | — | — | No Bet | Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 16:00 | Prva Liga | FK Metalac Gornji Milanovac v RFK Graficar Beograd | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 16:00 | Vtora Liga | PFC Spartak Pleven v PFC Ludogorets Razgrad II | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 16:00 | Prva Liga | FK Jedinstvo UB v FK Loznica | — | — | — | — | — | — | No Bet | Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 16:00 | Prva Liga | FK Napredak Krusevac v FK Smederevo 1924 | — | — | — | — | — | — | No Bet | Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 16:30 | Vtora Liga | PFC Montana 1921 v FK Hebar Pazardzhik | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 17:00 | 3. Division, Group 2 norway |
Nardo FK v Ranheim 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | No Bet | Not predicted yet — run predict | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 17:00 | Ettan sweden |
Vasalunds IF v Assyriska FF | Home win (49%) | 2.05 | 45% | +4pp | Under 2.5 goals (4%) | Both teams to score (9%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group sweden
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 44%
of the time over 810 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 50%
of the time over 810 matches.
Both teams to score — right 53%
of the time over 810 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 17:00 | Ettan sweden |
Angelholms FF v Eskilsminne IF | Home win (49%) | 2.30 | 40% | +9pp | Under 2.5 goals (4%) | Both teams to score (9%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group sweden
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 44%
of the time over 810 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 50%
of the time over 810 matches.
Both teams to score — right 53%
of the time over 810 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 17:00 | Erovnuli Liga | FC Spaeri v FC Dila Gori | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 17:00 | Ettan sweden |
Jönköpings Södra v IFK Skövde | Home win (49%) | 1.57 | 58% | -10pp | Under 2.5 goals (4%) | Both teams to score (9%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group sweden
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 44%
of the time over 810 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 50%
of the time over 810 matches.
Both teams to score — right 53%
of the time over 810 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 17:00 | Ettan sweden |
FC Arlanda v Hammarby IF | Home win (47%) | 3.75 | 24% | +22pp | Under 2.5 goals (8%) | Both teams to score (5%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 10 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/10
matches (need 10)
· group sweden
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 44%
of the time over 810 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 50%
of the time over 810 matches.
Both teams to score — right 53%
of the time over 810 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 17:00 | 1. Division denmark |
HB Koege v Hobro IK | Home win (46%) | 2.20 | 41% | +4pp | Under 2.5 goals (1%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (0%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 10 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/10
matches (need 10)
· group denmark
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 48%
of the time over 707 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 57%
of the time over 707 matches.
Both teams to score — right 56%
of the time over 707 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 17:30 | Primera LPF south america |
Aldosivi v Atlético Tucumán | Home win (38%) | 3.00 | 30% | +8pp | Under 2.5 goals (16%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (3%) |
Bet ▾
Match result — Home win.
The model rates this 38% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
30% —
so Sportybet's price of 3.10
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 19 profit on average.
⚠ Caution: in back-testing this league's model was
less accurate than the bookmakers — when it
disagrees with them, it has historically been the one that's
wrong. Treat this claimed value as unproven.
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Bet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 18:00 | Primera Nacional south america |
Tristán Suárez v Atalanta BC | Home win (55%) | 1.85 | 50% | +5pp | Under 2.5 goals (17%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (6%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 7 and 9 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 7/9
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 18:00 | Superliga romania |
FC Petrolul Ploiesti v Csikszereda | Home win (43%) | 1.74 | 52% | -9pp | Under 2.5 goals (9%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (3%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 2 and 10 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 2/10
matches (need 10)
· group romania
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 45%
of the time over 862 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 56%
of the time over 862 matches.
Both teams to score — right 49%
of the time over 862 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 18:00 | Prva Liga | FK Spartak Subotica v FK Vozdovac Belgrade | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 18:30 | Serie C, Group B italy |
Spezia Calcio v Vis Pesaro 1898 | Home win (35%) | 1.22 | 74% | -39pp | Under 2.5 goals (5%) | Both teams to score (6%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 10 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 10/0
matches (need 10)
· group italy
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 47%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 53%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 51%
of the time over 1322 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 18:30 | Serie C, Group B italy |
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC v US Livorno 1915 | Home win (46%) | 2.24 | 40% | +5pp | Under 2.5 goals (5%) | Both teams to score (1%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group italy
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 47%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 53%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 51%
of the time over 1322 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 18:30 | Serie C, Group A italy |
Treviso FBC 1993 v Calcio Desenzano | Home win (46%) | 1.99 | 46% | -1pp | Under 2.5 goals (5%) | Both teams to score (1%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group italy
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 47%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 53%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 51%
of the time over 1322 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 18:30 | Serie C, Group A italy |
Dolomiti Bellunesi v AC Lumezzane | Home win (46%) | 2.25 | 41% | +5pp | Under 2.5 goals (5%) | Both teams to score (1%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group italy
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 47%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 53%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 51%
of the time over 1322 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 18:30 | Serie C, Group B italy |
US Pianese v US Sambenedettese | Home win (46%) | 2.35 | 39% | +7pp | Under 2.5 goals (5%) | Both teams to score (1%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group italy
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 47%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 53%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 51%
of the time over 1322 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 18:30 | Serie C, Group A italy |
AC Trento v Pro Vercelli 1892 | Home win (46%) | 1.78 | 52% | -6pp | Under 2.5 goals (5%) | Both teams to score (1%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model doesn't know these teams well enough — only 0 and 0 past matches on file (10 needed each)
Coverage: 0/0
matches (need 10)
· group italy
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 47%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 53%
of the time over 1322 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Both teams to score — right 51%
of the time over 1322 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Teams lack enough match history | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 18:45 | Southern League Premier Central | United v RC Warwick | — | — | — | — | — | — | No Bet | Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 19:00 | LigaPro Primera A | Manta FC v Orense SC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 20:30 | Torneo DIMAYOR | Bogotá v Barranquilla FC | — | — | — | — | — | — | No Bet | Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 22:00 | Primera Nacional south america |
Nueva Chicago v Patronato | Home win (43%) | 2.30 | 40% | +3pp | Under 2.5 goals (17%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (8%) |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: the model and the bookmakers roughly agree on every market — the odds are priced about right, so there is nothing mispriced to bet on (the model must disagree by at least 3 points to bet)
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Below threshold (best 43% vs 60%) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 22:00 | Primera LPF south america |
Barracas Central v Independiente Rivadavia | Home win (38%) | 3.10 | 29% | +9pp | Under 2.5 goals (15%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (7%) |
Bet ▾
Match result — Home win.
The model rates this 38% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
29% —
so Sportybet's price of 3.20
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 23 profit on average.
⚠ Caution: in back-testing this league's model was
less accurate than the bookmakers — when it
disagrees with them, it has historically been the one that's
wrong. Treat this claimed value as unproven.
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Bet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 22:00 | Torneo DIMAYOR | Real Cundinamarca v Deportes Quindío | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 22:30 | Brasileiro Serie B | Criciúma EC v Operário PR | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
No model for br2 yet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 22:30 | Primera Division | Central Espanol FC v Torque | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 00:15 | Primera LPF south america |
Lanús v Estudiantes | Home win (49%) | 2.11 | 43% | +6pp | Under 2.5 goals (17%) | Either side keeps a clean sheet (8%) |
Bet ▾
Match result — Home win.
The model rates this 49% likely,
but the bookmakers' odds treat it as only
43% —
so Sportybet's price of 2.15
pays more than the model thinks the risk deserves.
If the model's probability is right, every 100 staked
returns about 5 profit on average.
⚠ Caution: in back-testing this league's model was
less accurate than the bookmakers — when it
disagrees with them, it has historically been the one that's
wrong. Treat this claimed value as unproven.
Coverage: 10/10
matches (need 10)
· group south america
This model's track record (on matches it had never seen):
Match result — right 46%
of the time over 2000 matches,
less accurate than
the bookmakers.
Over / Under 2.5 goals — right 60%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Both teams to score — right 54%
of the time over 2000 matches.
Assessed 2026-09-20 12:15 UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Bet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 00:30 | Brasileiro Serie B | Cuiabá EC v Nautico PE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
No model for br2 yet | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 00:30 | LigaPro Primera A | FC Barcelona v CSD Independiente del Valle | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 00:30 | Torneo DIMAYOR | Real Cartagena v Envigado | — | — | — | — | — | — | No Bet | Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 05:00 | Asian Games | Vietnam U23 v Uzbekistan U23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 05:00 | Asian Games | Philippines U23 v Kuwait U23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 10:00 | Asian Games | Republic of Korea U23 v Saudi Arabia U23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
No Bet ▾
Why no bet: league has no trained model
Assessed UTC — prices move; this is what the decision saw.
|
Competition not modelled (no history) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 14:30 | Liga 2 romania |
CSC Dumbravita v ACSM Resita | — | — | — | — | — | — | No Bet | Not predicted yet — run predict | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 16:00 | Ligue 1 | US Biskra v JS Saoura | — | — | — | — | — | — | No Bet | Competition not modelled (no history) |
A large positive edge on a fixture the model knows little about is a warning, not an opportunity: an uninformed model assigns near-base-rate probabilities to everyone, which looks like enormous value against a sharp price. Trust edge only where the league group beats its baseline on the reliability page.